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Latin America and China: The economic and debt situation and the U.S. discomfort

Latin American countries have no relatively good room for fiscal and monetary policy adjustment like China, and basically lack the ability for governmental countercyclical adjustment. This is mainly reflected in their room for fiscal and monetary policy. From a fiscal viewpoint, the taxation ability of Latin American governments is generally weak. Taxation accounts for 16-18%...

Russia and Belarus: An increasingly difficult alliance

Way back in 1991, while the crisis of the Soviet system was leading to the disintegration of that galaxy of nations which, under the acronym of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR), was the second world power in political, military and economic terms, Russia promoted and obtained the establishment of the “Commonwealth of Independent...

Latin America and China: The difficulties in relations and Covid-19

The relations between China and Latin America have developed positively, but some problems and challenges are also being faced. Firstly, the intensified strategic and economic competition between China and the United States has increased the negative impact on the relations between China and Latin America. Trump’s Administration already used zero-sum competition and Cold War mentality...

Latin America and the challenges for true political and economic independence

Latin America – and its core countries, namely Brazil, Argentina and Mexico – has become a region of high global strategic value due to its vast territory, abundant resources, great economic development, unique geographical position and active role in global and regional governance. Factors such as history, geography and reality, combined with the complexity of...

Can Syria be reborn from the ruins after a decade of civil war? The role of extra-regional playmakers

Commentary: The worst part of the war has come to an end. Syria is a country in ruins, but it remains fundamental for the Middle East equilibria According to the data from the “Syrian Observatory for Human Rights” (a non-governmental organization based in London), in 2020 – after ten years of civil war – “only”...

The new Silk Road: The agreement between the EU and China opens up new geopolitics scenarios

The year that has just started does not seem destined to be more peaceful than the one that has just ended. While the world continues to be afflicted by the Covid-19 pandemic, the United States, which can boast to be “the oldest democracy” of the modern era, is not only helplessly suffering from the virus...

The importance of maritime areas in the Pacific Ocean

Ocean governance has increased and developed with the continuous progress of globalization since the late 1940s and early 1950s, and it has gradually shaped two approaches: regionalism and internationalization. Currently, the internationalist pathway of ocean governance is facing headwinds: the challenges of anti-globalization, populism, nationalism, economic protectionism and unilateralism. The regionalism and internationalization approaches to...

Israel, Turkey, United Arab Emirates: The new geopolitical ‘triangle’

Commentary: After decades of conflict, Israel and the most important countries of the Arab-Muslim world have not only initiated a political-diplomatic dialogue, but also a series of joint operations with the aim of isolating the common enemy, namely the Iran of Ayatollahs, and secretly working together to redefine the setup of the region During the...

China’s conquest of space

Manned cosmic flight is the most technologically complex and difficult aerospace project in the world. It represents a country’s strength in science, technology and economy. Many countries have submitted plans for manned space flight, but for decades there have only been three States that could actually send men into space independently. According to statistics, 80%...

The year to come: From Brexit to Biden’s election – an overview of the near future

Commentary: It is certain that 2021 will be anything but boring in geopolitical terms. The new year is opening with some very alarming scenarios.  Herman Khan (1922-1983) is universally considered the father of ‘futurology’, the – inevitably inexact – branch of political science which aspires to draw future scenarios and make forecasts on the evolution...
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